sábado, diciembre 24, 2005

Eficiencia Energética: Opción de Menor Costo de Electricidad

De acuerdo a la Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) de los Estados Unidos la eficiencia energética salía a 3 centavos de dólar el kilovatio-hora en el año 2002. No cabe duda que es el medio idóneo para reducir los costos de electricidad para la economía dominicana. El tiempo para lograr los beneficios es también mucho menor. ¿Porqué insisten en invertir en centrales a carbón, si tenemos una opción de mucho menor costo? En el 2006 la factibilidad es mucho mejor, dado los precios relativos de los combustibles eran mucho menores.Miren a la lámina 5 de la siguiente presentación.

Some Friendly Comments on True Electric Deregulation Part 3

Esta es la parte común de las comunicaciones que envié a los expertos en electridad que mencioné en la respuesta al Profesor Banks.

Professor Ferdinand E. Banks wrote a timely article in EnergyPulse entitled A Few More Unfriendly Comments on Electric Deregulation, to which I made an initial comment and posed some questions regarding my hipothesis of a true electric deregulation. Prof. Banks has said, among other things that:


Almost as important, I think that the arguments of Jack Casazza, and the people at the Carnegie Mellon Electricity Industry Center are unbeatable.They also have all the evidence on their side, which helps. (And here I can suggest examining the blog of Jesus M. Martin-Giraldo.) I certainly respect the knowledge and interest of Vanderhorst-Silverio in this matter, and I hope that his ideas receive a wide circulation, but in terms of the economic theory that I study and teach, I would really be surprised if I were able to endorse those suggesting that there is an acceptable deregulation agenda out there somewhere if only we take the time to find it.

Thanking Prof. Banks for his suggestion that my ideas receive a wide circulation, I responded in part as follows:

Recently, I have sent an email to Mr. Casazza, and have gone to Jesus M. Martin-Giraldo, Power Encounters blog, where I posted comments in Spanish about 1) a misunderstanding of Fred C Schweppe's Homeostatic Utility Control in the literature review he posted; 2) my blog in which I have posted well over 900 notes, most of them in Spanish, related to what I believe is my meaningful aim of true deregulation (which started on 1995); and 3) CME Industry Center (CMEIC) admission of incomplete (=faulty) deregulation and lack of physical demand side risk management, and referring him to the link of my comments under the article "Strategic Perspectives on Utility Enterprise Solutions," by Warren Causey on EnergyPulse.

I have received no reply from them yet. I agree that under the old paradigm, CMEIC and Mr. Casazza are unbeatable, because they are based on "facts" of the faulty deregulation. However, I humbly think taht under COE hypothesis many of the arguments just don't hold. However, I received a kind reply from Dr. Alfred E. Kahn, but I am not allowed to forward it yet (the email has some legalese at the bottom).

I will send all of them, including the CMEIC the link of this article to see if
they may have answers to the questions I asked you.

Some Friendly Comments on True Electric Deregulation Part 2

Re: Felicidades

Muchas felicidades a ti Luis también en Noche Buena y Navidad y tu linda familia dominco-mexicana. Igualmente, muchas felicidades también a todos los copiados.

Espero que el año que viene los dominicanos dejemos de lado las diferencias y adoptemos un visión compartida del sector eléctrico, que sirva tanto para las empresas y las oficinas públicas, como para las residencias.

Muy cariñosamente,

José Antonio


On 12/24/05, Luis H. Arthur. S. <luarthur@verizon.net.do> wrote:
Desde mi exilio con luz, les deseo a todos una feliz Noche Buena y Navidad, y un ano prospero en realizaciones personales y nacionales, para Uds. todos y sus familiares.
Nos volveremos ver si Dios Quiere, por el tiempo que el decida.
Luis

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--
José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio, PhDInterdependent Consultant on ElectricityBS ´68, MS ´71 & PhD ´72, all from Cornell UniversityValued IEEE Member for 35 mailto:Years.javs@ieee.orgResearchand practice areas, and interests: systems architecture, systems thinking, retail marketing, customer orientation, information systems requirements and design, market rules, contract assistance.

Some Friendly Comments on True Electric Deregulation Part 2

Thanks Prof. Banks for your humble response.

I certainly can only claim to know about deregulation in the Dominican Republic myself, which is one of the worst cases in the world. Our educational system is lousy, and our power system has been expensive and unreliable for many years. Our power sector is right now is under systemic collapse, totally unsustainable, and kept going only on very large, and unsustainable subsidies and 20-25% rotating interruptions ordered by the World Bank and the IMF. Most customers with economic capacity have backup systems. However, I am not an anti-deregulation ideologist, because I firmly believe that our power sector can be turned around with true deregulation, as can be inferred from my presentation at the Spring 2005 Peak Load Management Alliance Conference.

Recently, I have sent an email to Mr. Casazza, and have gone to Jesus M. Martin-Giraldo, Power Encounters blog, where I posted comments in Spanish about 1) a misunderstanding of Fred C Schweppe's Homeostatic Utility Control in the literature review he posted; 2) my blog in which I have posted well over 900 notes, most of them in Spanish, related to what I believe is my meaningful aim of true deregulation (which started on 1995); and 3) CME Industry Center (CMEIC) admission of incomplete (=faulty) deregulation and lack of physical demand side risk management, and referring him to the link of my comments under the article "Strategic Perspectives on Utility Enterprise Solutions," by Warren Causey on EnergyPulse.

I have received no reply from them yet. I agree that under the old paradigm, CMEIC and Mr. Casazza are unbeatable, because they are based on "facts" of the faulty deregulation. However, I humbly think taht under COE hypothesis many of the arguments just don't hold. However, I received a kind reply from Dr. Alfred E. Kahn, but I am not allowed to forward it yet (the email has some legalese at the bottom).

I will send all of them, including the CMEIC the link of this article to see if they may have answers to the questions I asked you.

Best regards,

José Antonio

Some Friendly Comments on True Electric Deregulation