Power Customers Begging Superior Solution Path
By José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio, Ph.D.
Systemic Consultant: Electricity
First posted in the GMH Blog, on October 21st, 2008.
Copyright © 2008 José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio. All rights reserved. No part of this article may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying and recording, without written permission from José Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio. This article is an unedited, an uncorrected, draft material of The EWPC Textbook. Please write to firstname.lastname@example.org to contact the author for any kind of engagement.
The US, Canada, and elsewhere are certainly set for a rough ride already, as Bob Amorisi says, while he argues to keep under business as usual. The reason for the rough ride is simple: restructuring has been done without an effective purpose: which is maximum social welfare. The Christmas tree purpose, as a result of the same flawed political system, which also led to the positive feedback financial debacle, was what set both inferior solution path.
This is slide number 7 my presentation at Carnegie Mellon University on March 2007:
Small Chance Events Leading to an Inferior PathThe vision to get third world societies out of unrelaible service is now simple in the Digital Era after a lot of sweat: reduce complexity by dividing the complex power industry in two cohesive less complex systems that are loosely couple among themselves. The separation between the regulated system and the open market system is made possible by the ultraquality imperative (i.e. high system reliability).
The death of Fred Schweppe in 1988 and a misunderstanding by William Hogan in 1992 of Schweppe’s work on the energy marketplace were “small chance events early in the history of” deregulation that “tilt[ed] the competitive balance, ”to an inferior solution path,” as W. Brian Arthur explained in general in his Scientific American, February 1990, article “Positive Feedbacks in the Economy.”
The events were naturally pulled by strong vested interest community, by neo-liberalization, by the debating system approach, and by the regulatory design, which self reinforced each other.
Expand the regulated transportation system at least costs to enable such maximum social welfare in the open market under the value chain generation, retail, pro-sumer.
Under such a system, the spot price of reliable electricity will be the result of true supply and demand. Such spot price will be the reference for all types of economic transactions. Every customer then can purchase the power they need and can afford without communist like perverse incentives of the regulated price control system that results in today's third world service.
This is what the technology neutral EWPC market architecture and design paradigm will bring: competition. just like in the electronic industry, among Retailers’ Enterprise Solutions enabling the needed business model innovations to superseed the obsolete monopoly price control business models.