Did a Paradigm Shift Emerge in the 24 Hours of the IEEE Spectrum Smart Grid 2025 Game? Part III

Jose Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio | Mar 21, 2011

        

Last 20 plays. Continuation of the 60 plays on the IEEE Spectrum Smart Grid 2025 Game of Part I and Part II  

4373	3/18/2011 14:32	4295	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	Me too!	1	0	0
4008	3/18/2011 12:30	3988	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	The redundant gas turbine wastes a lot of gas waiting for a problem. Demand response does not waste that much.	7	2	0
4016	3/18/2011 12:34	4008	capt_stargazer	365	Investigation	So multiply the number of users who can draw from the system by creating smarter demand, not supply?	3	1	0
4079	3/18/2011 12:57	4016	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	Exactly! Notice also that customers have different preferences in the Technology Adoption Life Cycle. They wait for a Killer application	1	0	0
3821	3/18/2011 10:56	3816	ligtvoet	387	Adaptation	But generally with 1 hour or 15 minute intervals. These could be shortened, thus reducing costs of imbalance.	3	1	0
3951	3/18/2011 12:06	3821	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Adaptation	That's right! But, integrating varying solar and wind generation makes it more difficult.	1	0	0
1138	3/17/2011 18:13	140	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Antagonism	That is the reason why the current Smart Grid \...implementation and integration process ...is fragmented and uneven\""	13	4	0
1224	3/17/2011 18:27	1138	Smarts	481	Antagonism	There are about 3000 utilites in the US each is 'doing its own thing' when it comes adopting smart technologies. Guaranteed fragmentation...	5	2	0
2799	3/18/2011 0:43	1224	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Antagonism	It does not matter that there are not 3,000, but 10,000 utilities worldwide. No new. Utilities have been adopting new technologies before.	1	0	0
2805	3/18/2011 0:46	1224	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Antagonism	Develop the necessary electric power policy incentivesstructures to avoid fragmentation, using systems architecture, like #EWPC-AF	1	0	0
3768	3/18/2011 10:26	1138	ligtvoet	387	Antagonism	Surely you don't blame academics for that?	1	0	0
3659	3/18/2011 9:18	140	ligtvoet	387	Adaptation	My colleagues get more work.	0	0	0
453	3/17/2011 17:00	116	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	There was a system architecting effort between 2002 and 2004 that led to the system-within-system approach, that only considered technology	0	0	0
148	3/17/2011 16:26	123	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	Are you asking for a paradigm shift away from business as usual?	47	5	0
195	3/17/2011 16:32	148	AnuKowli	364	Antagonism	No. I am merely stating engineering goal and economic objectives of the Smart Grid should complement each other and get reflected in policy.	23	4	0
3844	3/18/2011 11:08	195	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	\... technology is the easy part to change. The difficult aspects are social, organizational and cultural.\" Donald Norman"	11	3	0
4282	3/18/2011 14:06	3844	AnuKowli	364	Investigation	How do we achieve changes in social, cultural and organizational aspects to move towards a smarter grid? What are the benefits?	5	2	0
4323	3/18/2011 14:18	4282	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	Eliminate restriction imposed Areas beyond system architecting “changes to the overall business and regulatory structure of the industry.�	1	0	0
4333	3/18/2011 14:21	4282	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	That set the difference between a technological and socio-technical architecting process. The benefit: avoiding the very costly dead end.	1	0	0
813	3/17/2011 17:37	148	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Momentum	A paradigm shift is needed to consider not only the engineering goal and economic objectives. There is a need to include socio cultural too	0	0	0

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Did a Paradigm Shift Emerge in the 24 Hours of the IEEE Spectrum Smart Grid 2025 Game? Part II

Jose Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio | Mar 21, 2011

        

Next 20 plays. Continuation of the 60 plays on the IEEE Spectrum Smart Grid 2025 Game started on Part I 

1118	3/17/2011 18:11	140	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Antagonism	The work is for systems architects. The smart grid system-within-system Smart Grid architecture was to create a Walled Garden.	527215	25	0
3657	3/18/2011 9:17	1118	ligtvoet	387	Investigation	I don't quite understand. Wouldn't that destroy the whole idea of a grid?	263607	24	0
3775	3/18/2011 10:31	3657	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	As the value added is in the interfaces between subsystems, I would say it in another way. It might destroy the whole idea of a system..	131803	23	0
3786	3/18/2011 10:36	3775	ligtvoet	387	Investigation	But then we wouldn't be talking about a smart grid anymore, but about smart home appliances or smart neigbourhoods?	65901	22	0
3811	3/18/2011 10:51	3786	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	It would still be a SG. The problem is on the idea with real time, when for most of the loads it will be at most near real time.	1	0	0
3816	3/18/2011 10:53	3786	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	Most economic transactions are executed before real time operation under the control of the whole system by the system operator.	32949	20	0
3819	3/18/2011 10:55	3816	capt_stargazer	365	Antagonism	Who is the system operator?  System controls far too complex to be managed by humans; \normal accidents\" result."	16471	17	0
3949	3/18/2011 12:04	3819	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Antagonism	The system operators of the power industry has been operating for years. They use what's called unit commitent which involve redundancy.	8235	16	0
3988	3/18/2011 12:23	3949	capt_stargazer	365	Investigation	Isn't the point of an SG to remove redundancy and improve efficiency?  Different class of problem than today, right?	4117	15	0
4001	3/18/2011 12:29	3988	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	The thing is that it is cheaper to replace the redundancy on the supply side (i.e. gas turbines) with demand side redundancy  - elasticity.	2051	11	0
4010	3/18/2011 12:31	4001	capt_stargazer	365	Investigation	Agreed, so the \draw down\" is what is smart  not the production side  right?"	1025	10	0
4065	3/18/2011 12:53	4010	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	Just as the railroads, electric utilities defined their business incorrectly, by ignoring several insights, like Levitt's Marketing Myopia.	1	0	0
4071	3/18/2011 12:54	4010	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	For details. please Google the EWPC article Answering “What Energy Business Are You In?� As the Way Out of The Third Depression.	511	8	0
4166	3/18/2011 13:35	4071	capt_stargazer	365	Investigation	Thanks, will do.	255	7	0
4186	3/18/2011 13:40	4166	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	You are most welcome!	127	6	0
4188	3/18/2011 13:41	4186	capt_stargazer	365	Investigation	A very fruitful learning conversation.  Look forward to hearing more.	63	5	0
4230	3/18/2011 13:50	4188	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	There is supposed to be a mechanism to get in contact. Please look for the \EWPC Blog\""	31	4	0
4240	3/18/2011 13:53	4230	capt_stargazer	365	Investigation	Will do.  Thanks.  Keep up the good (and impassioned) work.	15	3	0
4286	3/18/2011 14:06	4240	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	Thank very much! I hope we meet later on. I started this mission in 1995 and it has grown in scope a lot.	7	2	0
4295	3/18/2011 14:09	4286	capt_stargazer	365	Investigation	Would love to someday!  Lets stay in touch, although SG's aren't my main passion.	3	1	0

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Did a Paradigm Shift Emerge in the 24 Hours of the IEEE Spectrum Smart Grid 2025 Game?

Jose Antonio Vanderhorst-Silverio | Mar 21, 2011

        

This is part of my experience in more that 20 engagements, together with many other players, in my attempt to get the attention of participants on the emerging, simple, holistic, Electricity Without Price Controls Architecture Framework (EWPC-AF) paradigm shift away of the obsolete, complex, fragmented, Investor Owned Utilities Architecture Framework (IOUs-AF) in all of its current mix of incremental extensions forms. Was I able to progress with the EWPC-AF in just 24 hours, more that what I have done in the EWPC Blog in more than three years and a half, with close to 650,000 views, more than 250 blog posts entries (many of them articles) and more than 850 comments?

Identified as the EWPC-AF_Creator, I played on about 19 of the 24 hours of the Smart Grid 2025 Game, that was set up in the Foresight Engine’s forecasting platform of the Institute For The Future (IFTF) and organized in concert with and funded by the IEEE Spectrum. One may also question, if the massive parallel game itself was successful?

Expecting that anyone is able to see the very rich information IFTF Foresight Engine’s Dashboard, with all the cards played, and much more, like the awards, at this moment, the last blog news update read as follows:

That’s a Wrap!

Posted onMarch 18, 2011 by admin

Thanks for playing Smart Grid 2025. With almost 700 players producing almost 5000 ideas, this has been an amazing experience inventing the future of the Smart Grid.

Please keep an eye on this space–  with all the data so that you technically minded people can do some voodoo on the data to see what our game guides missed.

We look forward to playing more with you in the future, but for now, thanks!

**Update – Thanks for your patience. We now have a csv file for y’all to parse. Download the file here! Looking forward to the results — please post them in the comments here, or include #smartgrid2025 in your twitter posting of them!

Trying to “keep and eye” on said space “… to see what our game guides missed,” if any, the longest play engagement initiated by me as the EWPC-AF_Creator has 60 ideas, most of which came in a kind of exponential fashion. As expected by the IFTF, of the 11 complementary engagements I started, among the 153 ideas that I played, only two other had more 30 plays. That I think was part of good focused play.

In what can now be tagged as #Big_Picture, the first play was the Positive Imagination micro-forecast “Consider a paradigm shift away from the current Investor Owned Utilities Architecture Framework (IOUs-AF) and its incremental extensions.”

As can be seen below, there were 21 ideas by a total of 7 other players. Next is how the first 20 of the 60 cards were played, organized in hierarchical order, instead of chronological order. Please hit Part II and Part III to see the other ideas played. Maybe other players can reconstruct the plays of their engagements to respond to the action call by admin.

35	3/17/2011 16:03	\N	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Positive Imagination	Consider a paradigm shift away from the current Investor Owned Utilities Architecture Framework (IOUs-AF) and its incremental extensions	0	2	0
111	3/17/2011 16:20	35	syzygy6	268	Investigation	what are some other paradigms to replace the IOU-AF, or other models to emulate?	3	1	0
3838	3/18/2011 11:04	111	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	As shown, there is at least one Big_Picture paradigm for the power industry as a whole : the EWPC-AF	1	0	0
286	3/17/2011 16:43	35	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	The IOUs-AF was a great model to follow up to near 1970. From there on it became a vicious circle. In EPAct 92 an architecting flaw came in	0	0	0
340	3/17/2011 16:48	35	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	There is at least one that I created to replace the IOUs-AF and the current models that resulted from its complex incremental extensions	0	0	0
362	3/17/2011 16:51	35	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Momentum	Consider a Minimalist Architecture to enable a holistic discovery of the emerging Electricity Without Price Controls Architecture Framework	5	0	0
1341	3/17/2011 18:50	362	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Momentum	Sort out the highest architecting priorities and select key system properties to let others game participants use their creative freedom	0	0	0
3091	3/18/2011 3:17	362	vercingetorix	411	Momentum	This minimalist architecture could be a simple sensor and a blue tooth or wi-fi connection. With ad-hoc connectivity.	39	6	0
3105	3/18/2011 3:26	3091	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Antagonism	The minimalist architecture is not micro, but macro. It applies to the #Big_Picture of the whole power industry.	19	5	0
3302	3/18/2011 5:07	3105	vercingetorix	411	Investigation	Please define Minimalist Arch?	9	4	0
3756	3/18/2011 10:17	3302	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	Minimalist Architecture (MA) was defined by Bredemeyer Consulting	1	0	0
3760	3/18/2011 10:19	3302	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	MA Principle: \Sort out what your highest priority architectural requirements are and do the least you possibly can to achieve them\""	1	0	0
3763	3/18/2011 10:22	3302	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	What are the only justifiable MA reasons for restricting the creative freedom of other game participants? (adapted from Bredemeyer)	1	0	0
3766	3/18/2011 10:23	3302	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	MA \... demonstrable contribution to strategic and systemic properties that otherwise could not be achieved\""	1	0	0
3101	3/18/2011 3:23	362	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	The Minimalist Architecture refers to the power industry as a whole, to help enact an energy policy for the best possible future for the SG	0	0	0
3104	3/18/2011 3:25	3101	serenosaur	308	Investigation	Would an industry without price controls have wildly fluctuating value and cost, at least at the beginning?	1	0	0
3116	3/18/2011 3:31	3101	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	NO! The high volatility of incomplete markets are mitigated by complete markets. The #EWPC-AF centers its attention in greater elasticity.	0	0	0
1310	3/17/2011 18:44	35	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Investigation	#EWPC-AF -Electricity Without Price Controls Architecture Framework. #IOUs-AF -Investor Owned Utilities Architechture Framework & extensions	0	0	0
116	3/17/2011 16:21	49	EWPC-AF_Creator	55	Momentum	What about using systems architecting to enable a synthesis for the new market mechanism including social, economic, and political systems	2108915	32	0
140	3/17/2011 16:24	116	ligtvoet	387	Adaptation	More work for the academics!	1054457	31	0

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