lunes, enero 26, 2015

Why global Middle-Class Indignados should unite to demand strategies of trajectory

“The beginning is the most important part of the work.” -- Plato, The Republic

Whether in the European Union, in the U.S. Congress, in the IEEE, in the Electricity Pact of the Dominican Republic, of which I have been writing about, and in all institutions that are against Middle-Class Indignados, should help them unite all over the world. Such union is to demand at the very beginning strategies of trajectory that enable the institutional innovation that Hagel and Seely Brown have been suggesting, that "allows organizations to rearchitect themselves to scale learning and generate richer innovations at other levels, including products, business models, and management systems [1]."

While traditional economists develop their advice, based on decreasing return economics, under the assumption of the existence of one and only one path under a strategy of terrain, W. Brian Arthur had shown more than 20 years ago the existence of several path dependencies [2] that allows to say that current strategies of terrain, to operate under positive feedback environments of increasing returns, have already phase-locked themselves into inferior solution paths against Middle-Class Indignados. The availability of such positive feedback is another confirmation that we live in the systemic civilization.

That’s why traditional industrial civilization economists, like Thomas Piketty [3], are able to mistakenly restrict themselves to document huge inequalities for the 21st century, to show how the rich is becoming richer and the poor poorer, without telling us what to do. In contrast, strategies of trajectory should be the leader’s responsibility to enable the best solution path available.  One of those superior solution paths is already available; for example, by following the post See how the Dominican Electrical Pact may collapse inequality by leaping capitalism from Good to Great. Not necessarily completely different from the first example, another superior solution path is the one that positively responds to the post Would middle-class 'indignados' prefer direct democracy?

[1] John Hagel III and John Seely Brown (2013), Institutional Innovation, Deloitte University Press.
[2] Arthur, W. Brian (1994), Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy, Ann Arbor, Michigan: University of Michigan Press.
[3] Thomas Piketty (2014), Capital in the Twenty-First Century, The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press

sábado, enero 24, 2015

See how the Dominican Electrical Pact may collapse inequality by leaping capitalism from Good to Great

Update of 25 January 2015.
“Give me a lever and a place to stand and I will move the earth.” -- Archimedes
“The stakes are too high: our era is too complex, its challenges too significant, its promises too great, and its velocity too fast for us simply to react. Rather we must amplify the power of our brains, individually and collectively, to match our new circumstances.” -- Eamonn Kelly – Powerful Times
"[Y]ou can't connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backwards. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future. You have to trust in something -- your gut, destiny, life, karma, whatever. This approach has never let me down, and it has made all the difference in my life." -- Steve Jobs, Stanford University commencement address, June 2005.
Steve Jobs’ quote gives us another insight into the common sense of Jobsism that matches our current circumstance as defined by Eamonn Kelly. That quote tell us how to go Where the Magic Happens. Archimedes’s level is reinterpreted below as a systemic leverage that is available in Dominican Republic electricity sector to help start to change the world giving an example of how to reduce inequality with great markets that are fair under great capitalism.

End of update

This is the first draft of the translation (with an upgrade on the title based on Jim Collins's book Good to Great) of the post Vean como el Pacto Eléctrico dominicano puede servir para empezar a cambiar la desigualdad en el mundo (See how the Dominican Electrical Pact may serve to start changing inequality in the world).

As you can see next, covered in the background I have been pinning on Twitter, especially since I pinned the post Innovación: puerta al progreso (Innovation: Gateway to progress) in April 2014, the Dominican Electrical Pact may serve to dissolve the Fiscal Pact and redirect the Educational Pact. However, in order not to waste our extended systemic crisis of the electricity sector, the biggest opportunity that offers the same is as systemic leverage to transform the world helping enable the arrival of the first Golden Age of the systemic civilization. Otherwise the rich will be richer and the poor poorer, as anticipated and reiterated by Piketty believing that the future will be a continuation of the past.

The answer to the post ¿Querrán las autoridades del statu quo vencer sin poder convencer a los demás en el Pacto Eléctrico? (Will the authorities of the statu quo win without being able to convince the others in the Electricity Pact?), which solves the aforementioned systemic crisis, also offers, for example, a support, such as that identified Archimedes, to change the myopic energy crisis that the status quo of industrial civilization continues to impose to the world. Such is the systemic leverage we have available at this historic moment comparable with the discovery of America, which relies on, the axiom what’s most systemic, is most local.

It should be more than obvious, that with the current strategy of terrain, that maintains the status quo of virtually every country in the world in the Comfort Zone, it is not only impossible to solve local crisis, but to maintain inequality in all these countries that is taking us to the 2nd Middle Ages primarily using the dark side of technology. To drive such systemic leverage is mandatory switching to a strategy of trajectory leading to Where the Magic Happens thanks to the existence of the Systemic Civilization that enables to establish a new world order.

At the center of all systemic crisis, not just the energy one, is the State-market dilemma, that continuous to manifests itself, for example, in the recent Democratic State of the Union address by President Obama and the backlash it received from Republicans. The Democratic part of this dilemma, which stems from the idea that the state should correct market failures, clearly shows how these markets are mediocre (good on Collins’s book title) on the part of the Republicans. Such a dilemma is dissolved with the arrival of the great markets, when we change from the sense of Fordism corrupted by Feudalism, which induces this dilemma, to the common sense of Jobsism that dissolves it.

By changing civilization these market failures disappear with the development of great markets by implementing scalable learning Where the Magic Happens replacing scalable efficiency corresponding to the Comfort Zone. The result of such disappearance eliminates the justification of the State on markets interventions and that as a result involve mounting debts that affects many states.

That is also how the Dominican need the Fiscal Pact gets dissolved, serving as an example to the world to change short-term financial capital with long-term productive capital, with companies competing with wisdom on great markets. Equally institutional innovation that leads to scalable learning serves to redirect the Educational Pact.

viernes, enero 23, 2015

Vean como el Pacto Eléctrico dominicano puede servir para empezar a cambiar la desigualdad en el mundo

Como podrán ver a seguidas, amparado en el trasfondo que he venido clavando en Twitter, principalmente desde que clavé la nota Innovación: puerta al progreso en abril del 2014, el Pacto Eléctrico dominicano puede servir para disolver el Pacto Fiscal y reorientar el Pacto Educativo. Sin embargo, para no desperdiciar nuestra prolongada crisis sistémica del sector eléctrico, la mayor oportunidad que ofrece el mismo es como apalancamiento sistémico para transformar el mundo con la llegada de la primera Edad Dorada de la civilización sistémica. De lo contrario los ricos seguirán siendo más ricos y los pobres más pobres, como lo anticipa y reitera Piketty creyendo que el futuro seguirá siendo una continuación del pasado.

La respuesta a la nota ¿Querrán las autoridades del statu quo vencer sin poder convencer a los demás en el Pacto Eléctrico?, que resuelve la mencionada crisis sistémica, ofrece también, por ejemplo,  un punto de apoyo, como el que identificó Arquímedes,  para cambiar la miope crisis energética que sigue imponiendo al mundo el statu quo de la civilización industrial. Tal es el apalancamiento sistémico que tenemos disponible este momento histórico, comparable con el descubrimiento de América, que se apoya en el axioma mientras más sistémico, más local.

Debe ser más que evidente que con la actual estrategia de terreno que mantiene el statu quo de prácticamente todos los países del mundo en la Zona de Comodidad, no solo es imposible resolver la crisis local, sino que mantienen en todos esos países la desigualdad que nos está llevando a la 2da Edad Media aprovechando  principalmente el lado oscuro de la tecnología. Para impulsar dicho apalancamiento sistémico es obligatorio cambiar a una estrategia de trayectoria que lleva a Donde Sucede la Magia, gracias a la existencia de la Civilización Sistémica que permite implantar un nuevo orden mundial.

En el centro de todas las crisis sistémicas, no solo la energética, está el dilema Estado-mercado, que se sigue manifestando, por ejemplo, en el reciente discurso Demócrata del Estado de la Unión del presidente Obama y la reacción contraria que recibió de los Republicanos. La parte Demócrata de ese dilema, que nace de la idea de que el Estado debe corregir la falla de los mercados, denota claramente cuan mediocres son esos mercados de la parte de los Republicanos.  Tal dilema se disuelve con la llegada de los mercados sobresalientes,  cuando cambiamos del sentido común del Fordismo corrompido por el Feudalismo,  que induce dicho dilema, al sentido común del Jobsismo que lo disuelve.

Al cambiar de civilización esas fallas de mercado desaparecen con el desarrollo de mercados sobresalientes al implantar la escalabilidad del aprendizaje en Donde Sucede la Magia que sustituye la escalabilidad de la eficiencia que corresponde a la Zona de Comodidad. El resultado de tal desaparición elimina la justificación que tiene el Estado para intervenir los mercados e incurrir en consecuencia en las crecientes deudas que afectan a muchos Estados.

Es así como se disuelve también la necesidad dominicana del Pacto Fiscal, sirviendo de ejemplo al mundo para cambiar el capital financiero a corto plazo,  con el capital productivo a largo plazo, con empresas que compiten con sabiduría en mercados sobresalientes. Igualmente la innovación institucional que lleva a la escalabilidad del aprendizaje sirve para reorientar el Pacto Educativo.

domingo, enero 18, 2015

¿Querrán las autoridades del status quo vencer sin poder convencer a los demás en el Pacto Eléctrico?

"Venceréis, pero no convenceréis. Venceréis porque tenéis sobrada fuerza bruta; pero no convenceréis, porque convencer significa persuadir. Y para persuadir necesitáis algo que os falta: razón y derecho en la lucha. Me parece inútil pediros que penséis en España”. -- Miguel de Unamuno

Estimadas personalidades expertas,

Feliz domingo,

Contrario a Unamuno, que respondía a un solo militar, creo que en el Pacto Eléctrico hay muchas personalidades expertas a las que les puedo pedir que piensen no solo en República Dominicana sino en todo el mundo que enfrenta problemas sistémicos que requieren estrategias de trayectoria, para desarrollar apalancamientos positivos en que todos podamos ganar. En tal sentido, mañana es muy importante concentrar la atención en la nota Aporte al Comité Técnico para revisar la metodología del #PactoElectrico, la cual les envié el 31 de octubre de 2014 y que se explica por sí misma. Seguir la metodología del Pacto Educativo solo beneficia al status quo.

Todos sabemos que el CES está legalmente obligado a una estrategia de terreno suma cero, en que unos ganan y otros tienen que perder, como lo impone la Estrategia Nacional de Desarrollo, que a su vez obliga a mantener el respeto a la institucionalidad obsoleta de la Ley General de Electricidad. Es así como los sectores público y privado pretenden mantener el status quo con el Pacto Eléctrico.

Al nivel esencial del Pacto Electrico, que está por encima de la política y el dinero, solo hay dos posiciones disponibles: 1) quedarnos en la Zona de Comodidad junto a la personalidades del status quo o 2) ir juntos los demas a Donde Sucede la Magia. Ellos podrán vencernos, pero no podrán convencernos. En ese sentido, para conocer Donde Sucede la Magia, sepan que disponemos de la nota The Systemic Civilization is reconfirmed by curating John Hagel's post The Dark Side of Technology, con la que podemos asegurar la existencia de la Civilización Sistémica, al tiempo que podemos demostrar que el status quo se aprovecha, por ejemplo, del lado oscuro de la tecnología para imantenerse en la Zona de Comodidad, como se explica en la nota Carta a Diario Libre: Hagamos que el problema sea de todos con libertad de expresión,

Hasta mañana,

José Antonio

sábado, enero 17, 2015

The Systemic Civilization is reconfirmed by curating John Hagel's post The Dark Side of Technology

By José Antonio Vanderhorst Silverio, Ph.D.
Consulting engineer on systems architecting
A Dominican servant-leader and global citizen
January 17, 2015

Please consider this text as an integral extension of the blog post Can 10 questions above politics help forecast a new world order in 2015? Version 0.0, which, for all practical purposes, after its 5 updates, can now be considered Version 1.0.  In what follows, all references to Decalogue are meant to come from that blog post.

Once again I place myself on top of the shoulders of several giants. This time, Peter Drucker, Carlota Pérez, Eamonn Kelly and John Hagel III. I do it to integrate and harmonize their contributions to support the synthesis of the Systemic Civilization, as the huge leadership space available to humanity where the magic can happen after the speech act of a Global Declaration of Interdependence.  The greatest importance of that speech act today is that while I wrote that the Decalogue was above politics, it can be seen that they are also in fact above the ethnic and religious war movements the world is experiencing today, in which the dark side of technology is leading us to the 2nd Middle Ages, instead of the bright side where said magic happen to lead us into a Golden Age.

A reconfirmation of the existence of the systemic civilization emerges by curating the very valuable blog post The Dark Side of Technology, where John wrote that:
But here’s the kicker.  This digital technology infrastructure is not stabilizing.  We’ve had plenty of technology disruptions throughout history – the steam engine, electricity, the telephone, just to name some.  But, as Carlotta Perez has shown, all of these disruptions followed a common pattern.  They began with a burst of innovation at the technology level, but then quickly stabilized with only incremental performance improvements afterwards.  That in turn led to a burst of innovation at the infrastructure level, figuring out how to most effectively organize and deliver the value of this technology to business and society. But then that too rapidly stabilized so we could then figure out how to most effectively harness this technology." 
Our digital technology infrastructure is unprecedented in human history.  It’s not stabilizing.  The core technology components – computing, storage and bandwidth – are continuing to improve in price/performance at accelerating rates and the best scientists and technologists suggest that this exponential pace will not slow down in the foreseeable future.” 
And the power and scope of impact of these technologies is amplified by their interaction with each other and their ability to accelerate the performance improvement of an expanding array of other technologies, ranging from genomics to nanotechnology...”
John clearly explains that something other than a technological revolution that Carlota researched is at work. However, as can be seen next, that something is the emergence of a civilization, based on an Information Revolution, in a pattern being repeated of a much larger time-frame as those of technological revolutions. To reconfirm the idea of the emergence of the systemic civilization, which actually has the precedent of the industrial civilization, briefly writing about question 3 of the Decalogue, I told:
This is one of Kelly’s convictions; '… we may currently be witnessing nothing less than the significant unraveling of much that we have come to take for granted over the last five centuries [21].” In fact, Peter Drucker confirms Kelly’s conviction that “Everybody today believes that the present Information Revolution is unprecedented… These beliefs are simply nonsense [22].”
As can also be seen in the Decalogue, I wrote:
Mr. Denning has like me a lot of respect on the high value of the research done by Carlota Pérez on technological revolutions. One important hint emerges from the profound philosophic change: the independence that supported the unlimited world of the industrial civilization to the interdependence that’s required to support an emergent civilization, which I have suggested as the systemic civilization [10, 11, 13, 15, 16]. 
In reference [11], where I offered a conjecture, at the end of 2013, on the emergence of the systemic civilization, I had already curated Carlota's research as follows:
This author now understands that the first 4 revolutions defined the industrial civilization which corresponds to Alvin Toffler’s 2nd Wave. Recently professor Pérez responded to a comment that the 5th revolution might be the first revolution of the next civilization, which fits very well with Alvin Toffler's 3rd Wave.”
We can now easily reinterpret, after the fact, that during each of those four technological revolutions of the industrial civilization, the printing press technologies were evolving without stabilizing either. In addition, Carlota had guessed the anticipation a 6th technological revolution with, for example, biotech, nanotech, bioelectronics and new materials, that can now be reinterpreted as part of the 2nd technological revolution of the Systemic Civilization.

The impact of the 4th Information Revolution on the emergence of the first the systemic civilization is to start with a new world order in accordance with its 1st technological revolution. As can be seen in the Decalogue:
Fifth update: John Hagel III has written the timely contribution The Big Shift in Strategy - Part 2, which seems to be valuable to help us reach the vision of a new world order where the magic happens. Can the strategy of trajectory that strongly fits such vision start with the action in 2015 of the Declaration of Interdependence by Eurozone's leaders that correspond to question number 5? 
Is this how the above strategy of trajectory will fits the 5 elements that can help make it successful and enabling version 1.0? This is my take...[please go to the Decalogue to see it.]


sábado, enero 10, 2015

Carta a Diario Libre: Hagamos que el problema sea de todos con libertad de expresión

Segunda actualización: recibamos con interés el oportuno artículo Apagones en telecomunicaciones y otros servicios, elaborado por la personalidad experta el economista Eduardo García Michel, que entiendo destaca claramente el contagio del sector telefónico y su infraestructura del Internet, principalmente con la crisis sistémica del sector eléctrico. Siendo dicha infraestructura clave para transformar el sector eléctrico, vemos que sus soluciones están destinadas a reforzarse mutuamente.

Para enfrentar esas graves situaciones, tomemos en cuenta la cuarta actualización de la nota Can10 questions above politics help forecast a new world order in 2015? Version0.0, cuyo tweet aparece en breve. En ocasión del Pacto Electrico, que se inicia en breve, podemos concluir que con Servidores-Líderes podremos implantar el imprescindible cambio cultural hacia la civilización sistémica para acabar en varios años con los apagones de cualquier naturaleza.

Actualización: lo que sigue es lo que he estado respondiendo en Facebook hoy en ocasión a los mensajes que estoy recibiendo en ocasión de mi cumpleaños:
Además de dar "Me gusta," con mucha sinceridad y alegría, como agradecimiento al regalo (por ejemplo, felicitación)," que ya me has dado o me puedas dar durante lo que resta del día, como estamos acostumbrados, te doy lo que entiendo es un regalo mejor.

Contrario a los Líderes que Prometen Servir, que son líderes primero, que esperan tu regalo, por ejemplo, para ganar elecciones, aunque sepan que no le podrán servir a muchos de nosotros, hace poco me di cuenta que he venido siendo un Servidor Líder, que soy servidor primero. Mi regalo no es tangible, como los que siguen los rendimientos decrecientes, sino intangible, que siguen los rendimientos crecientes: mientras más lo usan, mayores los resultados para todos.

Además de dar “Me gusta,” mi humilde regalo para ti y los demás lo clavé ayer en el primer lugar de mi perfil de Twitter  y estará en esa posición por lo menos durante el día de hoy. Mi deseo es que aspires a convertirte en un Servidor Líder mejor que yo y si es posible mucho más temprano que yo que cumplo 70 años joven (70 years young) en el día de hoy.
Estimada Sra. Aizpun,

¡Buen día!





Con mucho respecto comento su interesante y oportuna columna AM.: El problema es de todos, del 9 de enero de 2015. Desde el sentido común que imperó durante la llamada civilización industrial, que hasta hace dos o tres décadas pudo llamarse, como parte de su última revolución tecnológica, el sentido común del Fordismo (en reconocimiento de la influencia de Henry Ford), su columna pudo estar muy cerca de la realidad.

Como verá más adelante, sugiero que la realidad emergente está en el sentido común del Jobsismo (en reconocimiento a influencia de Steve Jobs). Entiendo que fue la influencia del Jobsismo la que impulsó la primavera árabe y otros movimientos similares a la juventud de clase media, que sugiero fueron sofocados por el Fordismo que ha sido corrompido desde entonces por el Feudalismo para mantener el status quo. ¿Podría ser que esos movimientos insatisfechos no pertenezcan a lo que usted describe como "el problema es de todos"?

Igualmente, ¿no serían esas acciones en varios lugares del mundo una manifestación del proceso de intolerancia que usted menciona, pero no reconoce? Baso esa opinión en la nota Would middle-class 'indignados' prefer direct democracy? Es decir ¿no estarán esos jóvenes esperando un cambio de la democracia representativa a la democracia directa?

Pero antes de llegar a los planteamientos anteriores, para tratar de hacer sentido a la realidad emergente, el 25 de julio de 2012, tuve la oportunidad de expresar lo que aparece en la nota Video Completo Conferencia Magistral Dr. Vanderhorst Silverio en Academia de Ciencias de la República Dominicana. Como complemento, incluyo [vía email] en anexo un PDF de 10 páginas con las 20 láminas de dicha conferencia.

Sin entrar en lo que compete al Pacto Eléctrico, que viene siendo impulsado con mucha intolerancia desde 1996, cuando se me contrató para ofrecer mis servicios profesionales, con fondos de USAID, ahora paso a recoger lo que aplica a su columna. En la segunda lámina de la página 7 y en las dos de la página 8, aparecen los escenarios: 1) Continuidad, 2) Tiempos Difíciles y 3) Expectativas Elevadas.

Note que sugerí que nosotros nos adelantamos a la sorpresa que le llegó a Europa y Estados Unidos que pasaron al segundo escenario, en el cual anticipé que la Segunda Edad Media no es impensable. Todo el problema es que tanto aquí, como en dichas potencias económicas, están pensando volver al primer escenario, como si el segundo fuera pasajero, sin querer aceptar que el mundo cambió.

Sin embargo, la intolerancia que usted destaca, así como las crecientes desigualdades económica y de libertad, confirman como nos estamos dirigiendo hacia esa Edad Media, ya que las acciones han venido escalando, tanto con los terroristas, como con la ultra derecha, que están avanzando en la Eurozona y Estados Unidos, todo en nombre de la indepedendencia, en un mundo que es altamente interdependiente. A seguidas aparece el resultado de mis estudios e investigaciones, que he venido circulando y probando detrás de, por ejemplo, la nueva cortina de hierro del status quo.

Desde entonces he venido desarrollando el tercer escenario, con el que pude articular la nota Can10 questions above politics help forecast a new world order in 2015? Version0.0.  Como podrá ver, esas preguntas están dirigidas a resolver las crisis sistémicas que nos ha legado la civilización industrial. Dicha nota ya tiene tres actualizaciones: La primera sobre sobre la crisis de Grecia, que es el espejo del camino a que nos lleva a nuestra Segunda Edad Media.

La segunda sobre la unión de los franceses clamando por la libertad de expresión, como consecuencia del ataque terrorista de antesdeayer. Dicha actualización aprovecha la unidad para decir que no tienen miedo, lo que interpreto destaca la necesaria interdependencia que nos lleve a la primera Edad Dorada de lo que sugiero es la Civilización Sistémica.

Y la tercera sobre mi reclamo de la falta a la libertad de expresión en la guerra entre los Peircianos y los Cartesianos. En ese sentido, con este comentario estoy solicitando su colaboración para tratar de lograr el derecho a la libertad de expresión que entiendo le corresponde a los Peircianos.

Muy atentamente,

José Antonio Vanderhorst Silverio, Ph.D.
Consulting engineer on systems architecting
A Dominican servant-leader and global citizen

martes, enero 06, 2015

Can 10 questions above politics help forecast a new world order in 2015? Version 0.0

Fifth update: John Hagel III has written the timely contribution The Big Shift in Strategy - Part 2, which seems to be valuable to help us reach the vision of a new world order where the magic happens. Can the strategy of trajectory that strongly fits such vision start with the action in 2015 of the Declaration of Interdependence by Eurozone's leaders that correspond to question number 5?

Is this how the above strategy of trajectory will fits the 5 elements that can help make it successful and enabling version 1.0? This is my take:

1. Challenging: the 10 questions go so deeply as to invoke a change from a Big Shift in philosophers from Cartesian thinking to Systemic or Peircian thinking. Such shift is based the three Deloitt's like scenarios, "Continuity (continuidad)," "ToughTimes (tiempos difíciles)" and "Rising Expectations (expectativas elevadas),"which I presented at a July 2012 Magisterial Conference, which are recalled in the recent post Carta a Diario Libre: Hagamos que el problema sea de todos con libertad de expresión,

That's how I have been challenging those in charge at the electric power industry, the IEEE and now the Eurozone's leaders. In addition to the initiative of the Declaration of Interdependence of question 5, the suggestions to start with questions of question 1, and to confirm the over expansion of the industrial civilization, which can be done during the remainder of 2015. Going through all of the questions will help Eurozone's leaders get "aligned around a shared view of the future," as Mr. Hagel suggests.

2. Shaping: this element is related to question 8, 9 and 10 of the Decalogue. They help  set up the second level of the new world order systems architecture. This is where, for example, minimalist government regulation of question 8 fits to "unleash significant investment by many participants and ultimately re-shape broad markets or industries." as Mr. Hagel suggests in his blog post Shaping Strategies.

3. Motivating. In the positive part of a comment aimed against at the value of this blog post, Paul Sweazey wrote "It's a lecture disguised as a questionnaire. The list works fine as a stylized lecture, which is okay if that is you goal..." I will now be giving him thanks for his kind reinterpretation of the Decalogue as a "powerful narrative, one that highlights a compelling opportunity out in the future and that provides a call to action for others to help achieve that opportunity," as Mr. Hagel suggests for this element.

4. Measuring and Learning: I am glad of Mr. Hagel's suggestion to resist financial metrics, because they are lagging indicators or about learning from the past. Instead, I have been all along adding abductions as leading indicators to learn from the emergent future (see Endnote [2]). This is where disruptive technologies will "A set of mutually reinforcing virtuous circles based on systemic leverage will help get poverty reduction going as fast as possible," as I suggest on "The Decalogue’s in brief" about question 10.


Fourth update: in a new world order, Servant-Leadership will be prevalent. If management is not under Servant-Leadership it won't be able to provide the systemic leverage needed to answer correctly question number 8. That's the response I wrote under the article Why Isn't Servant Leadership More Prevalent?, which edited says:

For a few people, at least, it most be a load easier to answer Why Isn’t Servant Leadership More Prevalent? The main reason is that a lot happened during 2014 to reduce the complexity. For me, it has allow to write the main part of this post by humbly calling myself not just a Servant-leader, but also a global citizen.

Based on the post, my answer is that for Servant Leadership to be more prevalent we need to shift from the common sense of Fordism that is corrupted by Feudalism, that is extending the industrial civilization and move into the common sense of Jobsism (after Steve Jobs), that will let emerge what I suggest is the systemic civilization.
Third update: But, like a knife, the freedom of expression must have very respectful sides being shot up by the status quo that's against the new world order. That's the intention, for example, of the next tweet:


Second update: Is the "Not Affraid" defense of freedom of expression, shown in the picture below, an instance of the interdependence needed towards in the first Golden Age of the Systemic Civilization, against the current orientation represented, for example, by the Second Middle Ages terror event?
This update is self explanatory. To consider the reframing suggested based on the Decalogue, please read first the article "Why Grexit would not help Greece - debunking the myth of exports," by Guntram B. Wolff, posted on 6th January 2015, by the hitting the first link of the following tweet conversation:

Global Drucker Forum ‏@GDruckerForum Nov 13 
Nothing written challenges the world view & fundamental premices. 
@profhamel #GPDF14

José Antonio Vanderhorst Silverio, Ph.D.
Consulting engineer on systems architecting
A Dominican servant-leader and global citizen
January 6, 2015

Decalogue Summary

1. Should Eurozone’s leaders search for the urgent truth (with its feeling and power) by leading with questions?

2. Are Eurozone’s leaders convinced that they must take the leap to the stage to organize the world for the new order by giving the example of the kind of government market combination needed?

3. Will Eurozone’s leaders believe that such powerful times involve more than a technological revolution?

4. Can Eurozone’s leaders help become a reality a new world social order by enabling a new civilization based on the present Information Revolution that’s trying to emerge to displace the industrial civilization?

5. Will 2015 be the year when a declaration of interdependence will emerge from the Eurozone?

6. Are the Eurozone’s leaders ready to accept that the industrial civilization over expanded the production of energy above the limits of the world?

7. Are Eurozone’s leaders ready to follow German and Danish leadership modified under the assumption of the common sense behind interdependent countries?

8. Are the Eurozone’s leaders ready to accept that market failures can be eliminated by adopting great and fair complete and fully functional markets under minimalist government regulation?

9. Will Eurozone’s leaders help place wisdom above money?

10. Are Eurozone leaders aware that a Golden Age is available under the common sense of Jobsims, which is where the magic happens at the Bottom of Pyramid where most chronic and particular systemic crisis enables the greatest socioeconomic opportunities on that Golden Age?


Introduction

As will be implied from this questions’ Decalogue itself, the selection for the better future of the whole world is directed to Eurozone’s leaders. However, other regions, like Latin America and the Caribbean, which don’t have a regional status quo, like that of the Eurozone, might be able to leapfrog them, after becoming well aware of what’s presented here. Such new world order will be discussed as an emerging highest level architecture for global society.

This is being done by me as a humble servant-leader [1] trying to serve other leaders with a set of deep fundamental questions at the highest systems architecting level of the emerging global society. This version 0.0 is intended as a experimental test, with an action oriented scientific attitude,  to Eammon Kelly’s abduction [2] of “A Rising ’Second Superpower,’ that is ‘a connected, active, global citizenry that is able to discover, articulate, and perhaps even increasingly enforce its will.’[3]”

Such questions are supposed to be based on the discovery of a minimalist architecture in support of the emergent new world order that’s doesn’t assume a central authority imposing its hierarchical power. Under the assumption that this introduction and its background to be seen next, I understand that it is more than sufficient to shift from a debate to a generative dialogue [4], so no further attempt is needed to make sure that this is the best or the only Decalogue; nor whether or not it is complete. No order of importance of those questions is intended either.

Background

This is not an attempt to forecast the future based on detailed analysis of neither, cause and effect (being close in time and space), nor by looking for trends based on what has happened in the past. Instead, it is about a synthetic questioning of the deeper long term systemic assumptions in order to learn enough from the emergent future [5] to be able to greatly reduce complexity and uncertainty as much as possible.

For example, 5 years ago I wrote that: “As suggested by W. Edwards Deming, the main barrier to basic innovations, like the EWPC-AF, and an increased standard of living, is the prevailing style of management. A better decade is thus dependent on the adoption of Deming’s System of Profound Knowledge [6].” As can be seen next, during 2014 important progress has been done to eliminate that barrier.

As Peter Senge explained, the adoption of the discipline of systemic thinking is in essence that of the profound knowledge [7]. In fact, behind them there is an even deeper urgency to shift philosophers: from René Descartes, Cartesian thinking, to Charles Sanders Peirce, Peircian or Systemic thinking [8, 9, 10,11].

One essential element coming from Peirce’s scientific architectonics system is his emphasis on the important relationships between logic, ethics and aesthetics. Such relationships emerged as the basis for (generative) dialogue [12]. According William Isaacs, “the ancient Greeks were perhaps the last western culture to have preserved this idea in the advent of the agricultural revolution, emergence of city states, and modern ways of organizing society.”

The good news that Isaacs tell us is that it is possible to rediscover dialogue by awaking something deep within us that helps us integrates the relationships of the True, the Beautiful and the Good. An application of the interdependence of those relationships enables me to express not only what I believe to be true, but also including my feelings and whatever power if any I may have, as shown in this Decalogue.

One of the most important differences in the very deep need for the dialogue approach to business can be found in the philosophy for leaders of Peter Koestenbaum [13]. By following him, as I have done, you will see the importance he gives to the personal side of leadership, which makes company culture possible, and the strategic side of leadership, which is used to respond to the world economy.

It is only culture that supports strategy and not the other way around. While the strategic side of leadership suggest an emphasis on STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics), the personal side of leadership suggests an emphasis on the very old human condition that is learned from the humanities and liberal arts. This means that the emphasis on STEM needs to be reduced to allow for the human condition aspects to be considered to enable innovations that solve the huge systemic problems humanity is facing today.

By actively following up and making comments to Forbes’ contributor Steve Denning, during the whole year 2014, I learned of serious attempts being made to eliminate that above mentioned barrier to innovations. Mr. Denning has like me a lot of respect on the high value of the research done by Carlota Pérez on technological revolutions. One important hint emerges from the profound philosophic change: the independence that supported the unlimited world of the industrial civilization to the interdependence that’s required to support an emergent civilization, which I have suggested as the systemic civilization [10, 11, 13, 15, 16].

Mr. Denning had anticipated that a critical mass of many management thought leaders were to converge, as they did, on Vienna, Austria, on November 13-14, 2014 to discuss mainly the question “Has Capitalism Reached A Turning Point?” at the Global Peter Drucker Forum 2014. For example, he wrote that “…a number of the articles that have appeared over the past few months in leading pro-business journals such as Harvard Business Review, The Economist, Financial Times, The New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post and Forbes.com, all denouncing key management practices and calling for major change. So are we reaching a turning point in management, and indeed in capitalism as a whole, analogous to the religious Reformation five centuries ago [17]?

Somehow, by repeatedly applying the architecting heuristic, “sometimes, but not always, the best way to solve a difficult problem is to expand the problem itself [18],” I humbly successively reinterpreted what I have been doing as that transformation (reformation lost its original meaning), by increasing the architecting scope of not just that of the electric power industry of the Dominican Republic, by shifting from passive retail consumers to active retail customers,  not just that of the global electric power industry, but that of the global society, in order to simplify the highly systemic problems.

The Decalogue’s in brief 

1. Should Eurozone’s leaders search for the urgent truth (with its feeling and power) by leading with questions? For example, Jim Collins suggests creating a climate where the truth is heard, by suggesting four practices, the first of which is “Lead with questions, not answers [19].”

2. Are Eurozone’s leaders convinced that they must take the leap to the stage to organize the world for the new order by giving the example of the kind of government market combination needed? According to Eamonn Kelly, “…the most mature, interesting, and innovative approach to new governance is the ambitious – and frequently fraught – experiment of the European Union [20].”

3. Will Eurozone’s leaders believe that such powerful times involve more than a technological revolution? This is one of Kelly’s convictions; “… we may currently be witnessing nothing less than the significant unraveling of much that we have come to take for granted over the last five centuries [21].” In fact, Peter Drucker confirms Kelly’s conviction that “Everybody today believes that the present Information Revolution is unprecedented… These beliefs are simply nonsense [22].”

4. Can Eurozone’s leaders help become a reality a new world social order by enabling a new civilization based on the present Information Revolution that’s trying to emerge to displace the industrial civilization? This is also based on Alvin Toffler’s conclusion in his synthetic book The Third Wave, where he showed that the industrial civilization emerged to displace the agricultural civilization regardless of political, cultural, climatic, ethnic, religious differences [23]. While permanent jobs and careers on the industrial civilization are becoming very scarce, they are increasingly available in the systemic civilization [24]. To a reduction on the traditional knowledge stacks of the industrial civilization we are increasingly adding knowledge flows on the systemic civilization, which are very important during the transition to the new order. Knowledge flows, which may in time become knowledge stocks of the systemic civilization, will be here to stay later on while lowering its intensity as the transition advances.

5. Will 2015 be the year when a declaration of interdependence will emerge from the Eurozone? This means that the Eurozone’s leaders will agree to develop and implement a constitutional transformation of interdependent states [16], to solve the serious weaknesses independent nation-states have on the most important issues of our time which are transnational and global, as well as those fueling those recent national separatist movements [25]. This is in line with the higher maturity involved with the shift from independence to interdependence that the late Steve R. Covey told us about [26].

6. Are the Eurozone’s leaders ready to accept that the industrial civilization over expanded the production of energy above the limits of the world [28]? This is about the myopia that’s behind the global environmental and the many social systemic crisis all over the world and especially at the Bottom of the Pyramid. To avoid such distractions, what needs to be understood is that since the OPEC embargo the guarantee of cheap energy has been gone and that the guarantee for cheap information and communication technology is here to stay [28]. Because "what is most systemic is most local,” the intensity of the electricity crisis of the Dominican Republic is much higher, while it is essentially the same as the crisis in the USA and the Eurozone [29].

7. Are Eurozone’s leaders ready to follow German and Danish leadership modified under the assumption of the common sense behind interdependent countries? As low oil and gas prices distract independent countries once again on their obsolete common sense we are bound to continue such foolish industrial civilization expansion, for example, in China, India and Brazil, where most of the demand for middle classes is emerging [30]. In fact, Latin America needs to wake up to this reality to make a strategy shift away from commodities.

8. Are the Eurozone’s leaders ready to accept that market failures can be eliminated by adopting great and fair complete and fully functional markets under minimalist government regulation [31]?. This is where, for example, current Smart Grid premature standards designed for the comfort zone of Western needs is producing Doom Loops and will be replaced by emergent standards based on disruptive technologies fit to where the magic happens under positive systemic leverage [32].

9. Will Eurozone’s leaders help place wisdom above money? As important as it is, wisdom can replace money by shifting government’ borrowing to competitive companies’ borrowing, where needed, and in turn replacing representative democracy with direct democracy as much as possible, as increased market competition let customers vote with their wallets on said great and fair markets [33].  This is how public debt will be driven downward.

10. Are Eurozone leaders aware that a Golden Age is available under the common sense of Jobsims [34], which is where the magic happens at the Bottom of Pyramid where most chronic and particular systemic crisis enables the greatest socioeconomic opportunities on that Golden Age once they change their common sense [35]? A set of mutually reinforcing virtuous circles based on systemic leverage will help get poverty reduction going as fast as possible.

Endnotes

[1] Contrary to most leaders that are leaders first, servant leaders are servant first. Please take a look, for example, at James Heskett 2013 Forbes article Why Isn't Servant Leadership More Prevalent? and its interesting discussion.

[2] Abduction was added by the great American philosopher Charles Sanders Peirce, as a mean to learn from the emerging future, in addition to deduction and induction that let us learning from the past. More on Peirce on the Background section.

[3] Eamonn Kelly’s, “Powerful Times,” 2006, Pearson Education, Inc., page 199.

[4] The objective is to go beyond debate, where the status quo dominates the confrontation and we don’t learn anything, to a generative dialogue where we are set up the opportunity to learn from the emergent future. More on dialogue on the Background section.

[5] José Antonio Vanderhorst Silverio (JAVS below), A comment posted under Forbes' Steve Denning article "What Thomas Piketty Got Wrong", May 19, 2014, Grupo Millennium Hispaniola  (GMH below) Blog.

[6] JAVS, A Better Decade Require the End of the Prevailing Style of Management, January 2, 2010, Electricity Without Price Controls (EWPC below) Blog.

[7] According to the "Introduction to the Revised Edition" of "The Fifth Discipline," of 2006, Peter Senge explains that "... Deming had almost completely stopped using the terminology of 'Total Quality Management.' 'TQM' or 'TQ' because he believed it had become a superficial label for tools and techniques. The real work, which he simply called the 'transformation of the prevailing system of management,' lay beyond the aims of managers seeking only short term improvements. This transformation, he believed, required 'profound knowledge' largely untapped in contemporary institutions."

[8] JAVS, How to Cross the Thin Line from Arrogance to Leadership, June 19, 2011, GMH Blog

[9] JAVS, A Battle of the Peircian - Cartesian War, June 2, 2012, GMH Blog

[10] JAVS, From better places… to the emerging civilization, June 8, 2012, GMH Blog.

[11] JAVS, A complete and fully functional electricity restructuring proposal, November 4, 2013, GMH Blog.

[12] William Isaacs, “Dialogue: and the art of thinking together,” Currency Books, 1999.

[13] Peter Koestenbaum, “Leadership: the inner side of greatness,” Jossey-Bass Inc., 1991.

[14] JAVS, Knowledge leaders: ye shall know them by their achievements, June 18, 2012, GMH Blog.

[15] JAVS, Creative synthesis of the electric power industry, September 2, 2012

[16] JAVS, A Systemic Civilization Global Declaration of Interdependence, December 14, 2014, GMH Blog.

[17] Steve Denning, Has Capitalism Reached A Turning Point?, September 26, 2014, Forbes

[18 ] Eberhardt Rechtin & Mark Maier, The Art of Systems Architecting, CRC Press, 1997, page 235.

[19] Jim Collins, Good to Great, HaperCollins, 2001, page 74.

[20] Eamonn Kelly’s, “Powerful Times,” 2006, Pearson Education, Inc., page 195.

[21] Ibid, page 20.

[22] Peter Drucker “Management Challenges for the 21st Century,” page 102.

[23] Alvin Toffler, The Third Wave, Bantam Books, 1980. See section 2: The Architecture of Civilization,” of the Second Wave.

[24], JAVS, El empleo juvenil está en la civilización sistémica, October 10, 2014.
Peter Drucker “Management Challenges for the 21st Century,” page 102.

[25 ] JAVS, Scotland’s independence got around the world before its interdependence got its pants on, September 15, 2014, GMH Blog

[26] Steven R. Covey, The seven habits of highly effective people, Fireside 1990.

[27] JAVS, Applying #Jobsism to transform current global #Fordism marketing myopia, October 24, 2014, GMH Blog.

[28] JAVS, On GOP Energy Plan - A Simple Global Principle that Might Break the Gridlock, January 23, 2011, EWPC Blog.

[29] JAVS, The Dominican electricity crisis is essentially that of Europe and the United States, July 14, 2012, GMH Blog.

[30] Glenn Goldman & Eamonn Kelly, Another Billion, March 31, 2014, Deloitte University Press 2014.

[31] JAVS, Would middle-class 'indignados' prefer direct democracy?, September 25, 2014,

[32] JAVS, Systemic leverage to economies via their electric link, July 6, 2012, GMH Blog.

[33] JAVS, Is this how France is still pushing Money to govern? Should we pull Wisdom instead?, December 16, 2014.

[34] JAVS, From Electricity under Jobsism to a Golden Age, October 14, 2014, GMH Blog

[35] JAVS, Why the Eurozone leaders must change their common sense first, September 17, 2014, GMH Blog.